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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

18 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

ARIS LIMASSOL vs APOLLON LIMASSOL

Final 3:0

Aris Limassol won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rody Junior Effaghe — Aris Limassol
  2. ⚽ Jaden Montnor — Aris Limassol
  3. ⚽ Rody Junior Effaghe — Aris Limassol

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
Aris Limassol
90-minute result: Aris Limassol
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 194 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
140 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
148 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
183 predictions

Match overview