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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

14 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

APOEL NICOSIA vs APOLLON LIMASSOL

Final 2:3

Apollon Limassol won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pedro Marques — Apollon Limassol

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Konstantinos Poursaitidis — APOEL Nicosia
  2. ⚽ Josef Kvída — Apollon Limassol
  3. ⚽ Konstantinos Laifis — APOEL Nicosia
  4. ⚽ Pedro Marques — Apollon Limassol

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
APOEL Nicosia
90-minute result: Apollon Limassol
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 189 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 190 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
138 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
146 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
179 predictions

Match overview