← Back to matches

Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

14 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

AEK LARNACA vs OMONIA NICOSIA

Final 0:2

Omonia Nicosia won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Mmaee — Omonia Nicosia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Mmaee — Omonia Nicosia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Omonia Nicosia
90-minute result: Omonia Nicosia
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 189 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 190 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
138 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
179 predictions

Match overview