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Asia · AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League Elite Final Stage

13 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

AL HILAL vs AL-SADD

Final 3:3

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sergej Milinkovic-Savic — Al Hilal
  2. ⚽ Claudinho — Al-Sadd

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Salem Al Dawsari — Al Hilal
  2. ⚽ Rafa Mújica — Al-Sadd
  3. ⚽ Marcos Leonardo — Al Hilal
  4. ⚽ Roberto Firmino — Al-Sadd

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
20%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 104 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 103 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 15 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 73% (Strong)
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
25 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
67 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
89 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
38 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
90 predictions

Match overview