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England · National League · National League South

14 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

WESTON SUPER MARE vs HORSHAM

Final 1:0

Weston Super Mare won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Louis Britton — Weston Super Mare

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Weston Super Mare
90-minute result: Weston Super Mare
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 274 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 968 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1026 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
771 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
613 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
823 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
560 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
723 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
903 predictions

Match overview