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England · National League · National League North

14 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

HEREFORD vs OXFORD CITY

Final 1:2

Oxford City won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ George Munday — Hereford

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Harrison Sohna — Hereford
  2. ⚽ Matty Taylor — Oxford City
  3. ⚽ Canice Carroll — Oxford City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Oxford City
90-minute result: Oxford City
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 199 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 968 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1026 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 82 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
771 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
613 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
823 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
560 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
303 predictions
Total 4.5 15% (Weak)
123 predictions

Match overview