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Hungary · NB I

14 Apr 2026 16:45 UTC

FERENCVAROS vs PUSKAS FC ACADEMY

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Ferencvaros won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dániel Lukács — Puskas FC Academy
  2. ⚽ Lenny Joseph — Ferencvaros
  3. ⚽ Gabi Kanichowsky — Ferencvaros

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Ferencvaros
90-minute result: Ferencvaros
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 174 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
118 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
88 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
134 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview