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Hungary · NB I

10 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

FERENCVAROS vs DIOSGYORI VTK

Final 3:1 Almanac Moment

Ferencvaros won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Milán Peto — Diosgyori VTK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Elton-Ofoi Acolatse — Ferencvaros
  2. ⚽ Lenny Joseph — Ferencvaros
  3. ⚽ Mariano Gómez — Ferencvaros

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Ferencvaros
90-minute result: Ferencvaros
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
10%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 164 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
114 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
34 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
153 predictions

Match overview