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Hungary · NB I

11 Apr 2026 15:45 UTC

MTK BUDAPEST vs ZALAEGERSZEG

Final 3:0

MTK Budapest won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zalán Kerezsi — MTK Budapest
  2. ⚽ Zalán Kerezsi — MTK Budapest
  3. ⚽ Gábor Jurek — MTK Budapest

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: MTK Budapest
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 170 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 166 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
50 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview