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Scotland · Championship

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

RAITH ROVERS vs GREENOCK MORTON

Final 3:2

Raith Rovers won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cameron Blues — Greenock Morton

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Paul Nsio — Raith Rovers
  2. ⚽ Innes Cameron — Raith Rovers
  3. ⚽ Nathan Shaw — Greenock Morton
  4. ⚽ Jordan Doherty — Raith Rovers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
Raith Rovers
90-minute result: Raith Rovers
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 151 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
114 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
146 predictions

Match overview