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Scotland · Championship

07 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

AYR vs DUNFERMLINE

Final 0:3

Dunfermline won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josh Cooper — Dunfermline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Chris Kane — Dunfermline
  2. 🟥 George Finney — Ayr
  3. ⚽ Keith Bray — Dunfermline

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
40%
1X2
Dunfermline
90-minute result: Dunfermline
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 149 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 156 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
119 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
122 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
144 predictions

Match overview