← Back to matches

Azerbaijan · Premier League

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

SABAH FK vs ZIRA

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joy-Lance Mickels — Sabah FK
  2. ⚽ Ruan Renato — Zira
  3. ⚽ Aydin Bayramov — Zira

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ygor Nogueira — Sabah FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Sabah FK
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 157 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 156 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
111 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
112 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
122 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
146 predictions

Match overview