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Azerbaijan · Premier League

07 Apr 2026 15:30 UTC

ARAZ PFK vs SABAH FK

Final 2:4

Sabah FK won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Felipe Santos — Araz PFK
  2. ⚽ Veljko Simic — Sabah FK
  3. ⚽ Hamidou Keyta — Araz PFK
  4. ⚽ Joy-Lance Mickels — Sabah FK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joy-Lance Mickels — Sabah FK
  2. ⚽ Kaheem Parris — Sabah FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Sabah FK
90-minute result: Sabah FK
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 153 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 152 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
109 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 17% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
119 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
142 predictions

Match overview