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Russia · Cup

08 Apr 2026 17:45 UTC

ZENIT ST. PETERSBURG vs SPARTAK MOSCOW

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Zenit St. Petersburg
90-minute result: Draw
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 83% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 83 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 82 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
54 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
73 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
56 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
67 predictions

Match overview