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Scotland · Championship

04 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

ARBROATH vs ST. JOHNSTONE

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Dow — Arbroath
  2. ⚽ James Gullan — St. Johnstone

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Liam Smith — St. Johnstone
  2. ⚽ Thomas O'Brien — Arbroath
  3. ⚽ Josh Fowler — St. Johnstone
  4. ⚽ Jack Baird — St. Johnstone

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
St. Johnstone
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
12%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 145 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 152 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
108 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
140 predictions

Match preview