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Scotland · League One

04 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

KELTY HEARTS vs QUEEN OF THE SOUTH

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jordan Allan — Queen of the South
  2. 🟥 Jack Hannah — Queen of the South
  3. ⚽ Sam Fisher — Kelty Hearts

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Queen of the South
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 145 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 154 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
109 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
135 predictions

Match overview