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Scotland · League One

04 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

COVE RANGERS vs ALLOA ATHLETIC

Final 0:1

Alloa Athletic won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kurtis Roberts — Alloa Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Cove Rangers
90-minute result: Alloa Athletic
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 145 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 154 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
109 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
58 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
135 predictions

Match overview