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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

22 Mar 2026 23:30 UTC

LUQUENO vs 2 DE MAYO

Final 0:2

2 de Mayo won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Tiago Franco — Luqueno
  2. Fernando Caceres — 2 de Mayo

2nd half

  1. Miguel Barreto — 2 de Mayo
  2. 🟥 Alexis Farina — 2 de Mayo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 185 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
122 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
26 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
171 predictions

Match overview