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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

26 Mar 2026 23:00 UTC

RECOLETA vs RUBIO NU

Final 1:0

Recoleta won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Angel Lucena — Rubio Nu

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aldo González — Recoleta
  2. 🟥 Pedro Ríos — Recoleta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Recoleta
90-minute result: Recoleta
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 207 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 190 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
125 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
175 predictions

Match overview