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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

20 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

FC EMMEN vs VVV-VENLO

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luuk Verheij — FC Emmen
  2. ⚽ Freddy Quispel — FC Emmen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dean Zandbergen — VVV-Venlo
  2. ⚽ Dean Zandbergen — VVV-Venlo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
FC Emmen
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 294 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 310 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
244 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
173 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
232 predictions

Match overview