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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

20 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

JONG PSV vs VITESSE

Final 0:2

Vitesse won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nino Zonneveld — Vitesse

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joao Pinto — Vitesse

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Jong PSV
90-minute result: Vitesse
Off target
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 294 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 310 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
244 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
266 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
211 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
232 predictions

Match overview