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Brazil · Paulista A1 · Carioca Relegation Group

08 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

PORTUGUESA RJ vs MARICA FC

Final 5:2

Portuguesa RJ won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Guilherme Santos — Portuguesa RJ
  2. ⚽ Gutemberg — Portuguesa RJ
  3. ⚽ Pablo Thomaz — Marica FC
  4. ⚽ Valdenilson — Marica FC
  5. ⚽ Willian — Portuguesa RJ
  6. ⚽ Lohan — Portuguesa RJ
  7. ⚽ Lenon — Portuguesa RJ

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Portuguesa RJ
90-minute result: Portuguesa RJ
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 102 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 364 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 354 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
247 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
216 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
302 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
335 predictions

Match overview