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Scotland · Challenge Cup · Challenge Cup Final Stage

25 Feb 2026 19:45 UTC

AIRDRIEONIANS vs RAITH ROVERS

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dylan Easton — Raith Rovers
  2. ⚽ Jake Hastie — Airdrieonians

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Airdrieonians
90-minute result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 80% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 110 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 117 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
95 predictions
Total 2.5 74% (Strong)
69 predictions
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
79 predictions
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
102 predictions

Match overview