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Europe · Europa League · Europa League Final Stage

19 Feb 2026 20:00 UTC

CELTIC vs VFB STUTTGART

Final 1:4

VfB Stuttgart won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bilal El Khannouss — VfB Stuttgart
  2. ⚽ Benjamin Nygren — Celtic
  3. ⚽ Bilal El Khannouss — VfB Stuttgart

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jamie Leweling — VfB Stuttgart
  2. ⚽ Tiago Tomás — VfB Stuttgart

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
48%
1X2
Celtic
90-minute result: VfB Stuttgart
Lucky hit
37%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
91%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 144 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 144 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
109 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
81 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
113 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
126 predictions

Match overview