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England · FA Cup

14 Feb 2026 15:00 UTC

MANCHESTER CITY vs SALFORD CITY

Final 2:0

Manchester City won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alfie Dorrington — Manchester City

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marc Guéhi — Manchester City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Manchester City
90-minute result: Manchester City
Off target
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 93 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 92 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 25% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
62 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 78% (Strong)
58 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
33 predictions
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
77 predictions

Match overview