HAVERFORDWEST vs BALA TOWN
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
44% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
26% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 137 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 132 completed matches.
1X2
47% (Average)
Both teams to score
55% (Average)
Total 1.5
74% (Strong)
Total 2.5
58% (Good)
Total 3.5
54% (Average)
Total 4.5
66% (Strong)
Score
6% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 42 past matches
1X2
43% (Weak)
Both teams to score
45% (Average)
Total 1.5
71% (Strong)
Total 2.5
50% (Average)
Total 3.5
43% (Weak)
Total 4.5
76% (Strong)
Score
2% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
52% (Average)
100 predictions
Both teams to score
56% (Good)
75 predictions
Total 1.5
83% (Strong)
110 predictions
Total 2.5
64% (Good)
81 predictions
Total 3.5
58% (Good)
77 predictions
Total 4.5
82% (Strong)
94 predictions