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Wales · Premier League · Premier League Relegation Group

07 Feb 2026 14:45 UTC

BALA TOWN vs CARDIFF MET UNIVERSITY

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cameron Ferguson — Bala Town

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lifumpa Mwandwe — Cardiff Met University

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Cardiff Met University
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 133 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 128 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
106 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 28% (Weak)
36 predictions

Match overview