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Wales · Premier League · Premier League Championship Group

07 Feb 2026 14:30 UTC

BARRY TOWN vs COLWYN BAY

Final 0:1

Colwyn Bay won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nathan Peate — Colwyn Bay

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
Colwyn Bay
90-minute result: Colwyn Bay
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 88% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 133 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 128 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
106 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 28% (Weak)
36 predictions

Match overview