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Greece · Cup · Cup Final Stage

11 Feb 2026 18:30 UTC

PAOK THESSALONIKI FC vs PANATHINAIKOS

Final 2:0

PAOK Thessaloniki FC won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Giorgos Giakoumakis — PAOK Thessaloniki FC
  2. ⚽ Dimitrios Chatsidis — PAOK Thessaloniki FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
PAOK Thessaloniki FC
90-minute result: PAOK Thessaloniki FC
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 62 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 61 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 12 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
49 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
30 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
49 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
36 predictions
Total 3.5 22% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
54 predictions

Match overview