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Greece · Cup · Cup Final Stage

14 Jan 2026 18:30 UTC

PANATHINAIKOS vs ARIS THESSALONIKI FC

Final 3:0

Panathinaikos won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tasos Bakasetas — Panathinaikos

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tasos Bakasetas — Panathinaikos
  2. ⚽ Tasos Bakasetas — Panathinaikos

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Panathinaikos
90-minute result: Panathinaikos
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 56 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 55 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 44% (Weak)
Total 2.5 22% (Weak)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
43 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
49 predictions

Match overview