← Back to matches

Greece · Cup · Cup Final Stage

14 Jan 2026 15:00 UTC

AEK ATHENS vs OFI CRETE

Final 0:1

OFI Crete won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Eddie Salcedo — OFI Crete
  2. 🟥 Thiago Nuss — OFI Crete
  3. 🟥 Giannis Theodosoulakis — OFI Crete

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
AEK Athens
90-minute result: OFI Crete
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 56 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 55 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
43 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
44 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
49 predictions

Match overview