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Scotland · FA Cup

08 Feb 2026 19:30 UTC

STENHOUSEMUIR vs FALKIRK

Final 0:2

Draw

Match timeline

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Brad Spencer — Falkirk
  2. ⚽ Barney Stewart — Falkirk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
40%
1X2
Stenhousemuir
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
7:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 56 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 56 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
41 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
37 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
21 predictions
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
6 predictions

Match overview