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Scotland · FA Cup

07 Feb 2026 15:00 UTC

ELGIN vs PARTICK THISTLE

Final 2:3

Partick Thistle won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Robbie Crawford — Partick Thistle
  2. ⚽ Ryan Sargent — Elgin
  3. ⚽ Tony Watt — Partick Thistle

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Sargent — Elgin
  2. ⚽ Ben Stanway — Partick Thistle

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Partick Thistle
90-minute result: Partick Thistle
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 53 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 54 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 20% (Weak)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
40 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
37 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
48 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
36 predictions
Total 3.5 15% (Weak)
20 predictions
Total 4.5 20% (Weak)
5 predictions

Match overview