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Scotland · FA Cup

06 Feb 2026 19:45 UTC

AIRDRIEONIANS vs ST. MIRREN

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jacob Devaney — St. Mirren

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Euan Henderson — Airdrieonians

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Roland Idowu — St. Mirren

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 52 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 54 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 14% (Weak)
14 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
37 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
48 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
34 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
49 predictions

Match overview