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Australia · A-League · A-League Men

25 Jan 2026 08:00 UTC

WESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS FC vs PERTH GLORY

Final 1:0

Western Sydney Wanderers FC won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Fraser — Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
90-minute result: Western Sydney Wanderers FC
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 85 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 75 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 19 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
41 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
57 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
39 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
69 predictions

Match overview