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England · League Cup · EFL Cup

13 Jan 2026 20:00 UTC

NEWCASTLE vs MANCHESTER CITY

Final 0:2

Top match Manchester City won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Antoine Semenyo — Manchester City
  2. ⚽ Rayan Cherki — Manchester City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Manchester City
90-minute result: Manchester City
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
0:6

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 87 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 88 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
77 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
35 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
71 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
18 predictions

Match overview