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England · Papa John's Trophy · EFL Trophy Final Stage

12 Jan 2026 19:00 UTC

AFC WIMBLEDON vs WEST HAM UNITED ACADEMY

Final 4:2

AFC Wimbledon won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alistair Smith — AFC Wimbledon
  2. ⚽ Callum Maycock — AFC Wimbledon

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marcus Browne — AFC Wimbledon
  2. ⚽ Joshua Ajala — West Ham United Academy
  3. ⚽ Lewis Orford — West Ham United Academy
  4. ⚽ Myles Hippolyte — AFC Wimbledon

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
AFC Wimbledon
90-minute result: AFC Wimbledon
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 12% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 110 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 112 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 88% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 38% (Weak)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
90 predictions
Both teams to score 29% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 1.5 17% (Weak)
6 predictions
Total 2.5 28% (Weak)
29 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
60 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
78 predictions

Match overview