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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

29 Sep 2025 14:00 UTC

EL GOUNA FC vs CERAMICA CLEOPATRA

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marwan Mohsen — El Gouna FC
  2. ⚽ Ragab Nabil — Ceramica Cleopatra

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
40%
1X2
El Gouna FC
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
36%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 41% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 90 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 81 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 79% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 36% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
43 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
62 predictions
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
48 predictions
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
78 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
81 predictions

Match overview