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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

27 Sep 2025 14:00 UTC

AL MOKAWLOON AL ARAB vs KAHRBAA ISMAILIA

Final 0:1

Kahrbaa Ismailia won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Louay Wael — Al Mokawloon Al Arab
  2. 🟥 Louay Wael — Al Mokawloon Al Arab

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Shika — Kahrbaa Ismailia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Al Mokawloon Al Arab
90-minute result: Kahrbaa Ismailia
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 41% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 83 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 74 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 13 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 15% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 77% (Strong)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
39 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
16 predictions
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
29 predictions
Total 2.5 20% (Weak)
10 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
74 predictions

Match overview