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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

28 Sep 2025 14:00 UTC

MODERN SPORT FC vs PHARCO FC

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ahmed Shaaban — Pharco FC
  2. ⚽ Moaz Ahmed — Modern Sport FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
41%
1X2
Modern Sport FC
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 39% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 87 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 78 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
42 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
61 predictions
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
30 predictions
Total 2.5 72% (Strong)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
75 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
78 predictions

Match overview