England — Premier League

Sample size: 452 matches

Accuracy by market

Weak
51%
Both teams to score

Historical hit rate on both teams to score picks in this league.

Good
70%
Total 1.5

Historical hit rate on Total 1.5 picks in this league.

Weak
51%
Total 2.5

Historical hit rate on Total 2.5 picks in this league.

Good
62%
Total 3.5

Historical hit rate on Total 3.5 picks in this league.

Strong
76%
Total 4.5

Historical hit rate on Total 4.5 picks in this league.

Weak
8%
Exact score

Historical hit rate on exact scoreline picks in this league.

Totals: Over vs Under

Market Over (n) Over acc % Under (n) Under acc %
1.5 375 79.7% 77 22.1%
2.5 239 55.7% 213 46.5%
3.5 131 32.8% 321 73.2%
4.5 62 11.3% 390 86.7%

Underdog vs Favorite (1X2)

Only home/away picks with odds; underdog = higher decimal odds.

Favorite picks

Hit rate:
51.7% N=180
Avg odds:
1.80
ROI (1u):
-13.6%

Underdog picks

Pick rate:
28.3%
Hit rate:
23.9% N=71
Avg odds:
3.95
ROI (1u):
-8.7%

Underdog is defined by stored odds (may not be closing odds).

League matches

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