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Uzbekistan · Uzbek League · Superliga

28 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

NEFTCHI FARGONA vs NAVBAHOR NAMANGAN

Model prediction

Good
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Strong
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
11%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 83 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 82 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 19 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
23 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
51 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
40 predictions
Total 3.5 17% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
76 predictions

Match preview