← Back to matches

Uzbekistan · Uzbek League · Superliga

28 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

NASAF QARSHI vs QIZILQUM ZARAFSHON

Model prediction

Strong
51%
1X2
Qizilqum Zarafshon
Risky
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Strong
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
15%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 83 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 82 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
59 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
64 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
76 predictions

Match preview