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Norway · Eliteserien

27 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

ROSENBORG vs FREDRIKSTAD

Final 4:0

Rosenborg won Last goal: Rosenborg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Adrian Pereira — Rosenborg
  2. ⚽ Emil Ceïde — Rosenborg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Amin Chiakha — Rosenborg
  2. ⚽ Iver Fossum — Rosenborg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Rosenborg
90-minute result: Rosenborg
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
5:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+5; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 326 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 78 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
248 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
194 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
125 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
68 predictions

Match overview