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Norway · Eliteserien

26 Jul 2026 17:15 UTC

AALESUND vs VIKING

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Aalesund

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kristoffer Askildsen — Viking

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mathias Christensen — Aalesund

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 271 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 321 completed matches.

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 19% (Weak)
77 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
192 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
262 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
192 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 27% (Weak)
67 predictions

Match overview