← Back to matches

Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

27 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

UNION LA CALERA vs EVERTON CD

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Union La Calera

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nicolas Montiel — Everton CD
  2. ⚽ Francisco Pozzo — Union La Calera

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Everton CD
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 257 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
201 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
274 predictions

Match overview