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Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

26 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA vs LA SERENA

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Universidad Catolica

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fernando Zampedri (penalty) — Universidad Catolica
  2. ⚽ Eugenio Mena — Universidad Catolica

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gonzalo Figueroa — La Serena
  2. ⚽ Matías Marín — La Serena
  3. ⚽ Gonzalo Figueroa — La Serena
  4. ⚽ Fernando Zampedri — Universidad Catolica

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 92 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 254 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 22% (Weak)
93 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
274 predictions

Match overview