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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

27 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

ATLANTA vs ALMAGRO

Final 1:3

Almagro won Last goal: Atlanta

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Julián Marchioni — Almagro
  2. ⚽ Julián Vitale — Almagro
  3. ⚽ Joel Orlando — Almagro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rodrigo Moreira — Atlanta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Atlanta
90-minute result: Almagro
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 241 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 683 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 810 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 99% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
503 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
253 predictions
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
395 predictions
Total 2.5 26% (Weak)
176 predictions
Total 3.5 89% (Strong)
747 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
790 predictions

Match overview