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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

26 Jul 2026 18:30 UTC

COLON vs CA CHACO FOR EVER

Final 0:1

CA Chaco For Ever won Last goal: CA Chaco For Ever

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Enzo Gaggi — CA Chaco For Ever

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Colon
90-minute result: CA Chaco For Ever
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 238 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 670 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 813 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 85 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
506 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
254 predictions
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
396 predictions
Total 2.5 26% (Weak)
177 predictions
Total 3.5 89% (Strong)
750 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
793 predictions

Match overview