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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Federal A Zona A

26 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

INDEPENDIENTE CHIVILCOY vs SPORTIVO LAS PAREJAS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Sportivo Las Parejas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Leonel Retamozo — Independiente Chivilcoy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rodrigo Gimenez (own goal) — Sportivo Las Parejas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 492 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,142 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1344 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
500 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
503 predictions
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
732 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
342 predictions
Total 3.5 10% (Weak)
126 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1303 predictions

Match overview